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A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities

marquis de Pierre Simon Laplace · Mathematics · 19 章

目录

ERRATA.CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION.CHAPTER II. CONCERNING PROBABILITY.CHAPTER III. THE GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES.CHAPTER IV. CONCERNING HOPE.CHAPTER V. CONCERNING THE ANALYTICAL METHODS OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES.CHAPTER VI. GAMES OF CHANCE.CHAPTER VII. CONCERNING THE UNKNOWN INEQUALITIES WHICH MAY EXIST AMONG CHANCES WHICH ARE SUPPOSED EQUAL.CHAPTER VIII. CONCERNING THE LAWS OF PROBABILITY WHICH RESULT FROM THE INDEFINITE MULTIPLICATION OF EVENTS.CHAPTER IX. THE APPLICATION OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES TO NATURAL PHILOSOPHY.CHAPTER X. APPLICATION OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES TO THE MORAL SCIENCES.CHAPTER XI. CONCERNING THE PROBABILITIES OF TESTIMONIES.CHAPTER XII. CONCERNING THE SELECTIONS AND THE DECISIONS OF ASSEMBLIES.CHAPTER XIII. CONCERNING THE PROBABILITY OF THE JUDGMENTS OF TRIBUNALS.CHAPTER XIV. CONCERNING TABLES OF MORTALITY, AND OF MEAN DURATIONS OF LIFE, OF MARRIAGES, AND OF ASSOCIATIONS.CHAPTER XV. CONCERNING THE BENEFITS OF INSTITUTIONS WHICH DEPEND UPON THE PROBABILITY OF EVENTS.CHAPTER XVI. CONCERNING ILLUSIONS IN THE ESTIMATION OF PROBABILITIES.CHAPTER XVII. CONCERNING THE VARIOUS MEANS OF APPROACHING CERTAINTY.THE FULL PROJECT GUTENBERG™ LICENSE